Manchester United vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.