Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.