Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.09%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.