Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Molineux

Wolves
1 - 5
Man City

Dendoncker (11')

FT(HT: 1-3)

De Bruyne (7', 16', 24', 60'), Sterling (84')
De Bruyne (78')

Reaction

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne with the match ball on May 11, 2022

Kevin De Bruyne joins exclusive club, Manchester City break record in Wolves win

Kevin De Bruyne joins an exclusive club while Manchester City set a new English football record in Wednesday's 5-1 Premier League win over Wolverhampton Wanderers.

May 12, 11:19

Manchester City's Aymeric Laporte receives medical attention on May 11, 2022

Manchester City suffer Aymeric Laporte, Fernandinho injury blows

Manchester City suffer two more injury blows as Aymeric Laporte and Fernandinho were both forced off in the 5-1 win at Wolverhampton Wanderers on Wednesday night.

May 11, 23:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Wolves
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.45%) and 0-1 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Manchester City
8.63% ( 0.27)	15.24% ( 0.22)	76.13% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.91% (

-0.11)

38.08% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.64% (

-0.12)

60.36% (

0.11)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.94% (

0.54)

49.06% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16% (

0.38)

84% (

-0.38)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.65% (

-0.13)

8.35% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.93% (

-0.33)

29.07% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 8.63%

Manchester City 76.11%

Draw 15.24%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 8.63%	1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.7% Total : 15.24%	0-2 @ 12.62% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 10.45% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.49% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 3.23% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 1-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 76.11%