Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

Apr 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 4
Man City

Firpo (6'), Marsch (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodri (13'), Ake (54'), Jesus (78'), Fernandinho (90+3')
Grealish (14'), Cancelo (68')

Reaction

Leeds United's Stuart Dallas receives medical attention after sustaining an injury on April 30, 2022

Leeds United's Stuart Dallas to undergo surgery on broken leg

Leeds United confirm that Stuart Dallas will undergo surgery after sustaining a femoral fracture in the 4-0 defeat against Manchester City on Saturday.

May 1, 15:02

Leeds United's Jesse Marsch provides pessimistic injury update on Stuart Dallas

Leeds United's Jesse Marsch admits that he is concerned for Stuart Dallas after the midfielder was stretchered off with a knee injury in the 4-0 loss to Manchester City.

Apr 30, 20:37

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Everton	38	-23	39
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 7.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.46%) and 0-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Manchester City
7.91%	13.85%	78.23%

Both teams to score 48.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.32%

33.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.49%

55.5%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.41%

47.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.07%

82.93%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.1%

6.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.64%

25.36%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 7.91%

Manchester City 78.23%

Draw 13.85%

Leeds United	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 2.44% 2-1 @ 2.42% 2-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.15% Total : 7.91%	1-1 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.29% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.85%	0-2 @ 11.74% 0-3 @ 10.46% 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 7.77% 0-4 @ 7% 1-4 @ 5.19% 0-5 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-5 @ 2.78% 2-4 @ 1.93% 0-6 @ 1.67% 1-6 @ 1.24% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.3% Total : 78.23%