Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.