Manchester City vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.