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Wout Weghorst
13'
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Kevin De Bruyne
5'
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Ilkay Gundogan
25'
Burnley vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 3.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.73%) and 0-4 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.
Result
Burnley
3.72%
Draw
9.81%
Manchester City
86.47%
Both Teams to Score:
36.72%
Goals
Over 2.5
66.8%
Under 2.5
33.2%
Over 3.5
45.03%
Under 3.5
54.97%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
38.75%
Under 0.5
61.25%
Over 1.5
8.72%
Under 1.5
91.28%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
94.77%
Under 0.5
5.23%
Over 1.5
79.34%
Under 1.5
20.66%
Score analysis
Burnley
3.72%
Draw
9.81%
Manchester City
86.46%
Burnley
1-0
@
1.57%
2-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 3.72%
2-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 3.72%
Draw
1-1
@
4.63%
0-0 @ 3.2%
2-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.81%
0-0 @ 3.2%
2-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.81%
Manchester City
0-2
@
13.95%
0-3 @ 13.73%
0-4 @ 10.13%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 6.73%
0-5 @ 5.98%
1-4 @ 4.97%
0-6 @ 2.94%
1-5 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-6 @ 1.44%
0-7 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 86.46%
0-3 @ 13.73%
0-4 @ 10.13%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 6.73%
0-5 @ 5.98%
1-4 @ 4.97%
0-6 @ 2.94%
1-5 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-6 @ 1.44%
0-7 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 86.46%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
News