Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Leicester City |
| 29.21% | 24.8% | 45.99% |
| Both teams to score 55.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% | 29.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% | 65.8% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% | 20.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% | 52.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.21% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.99% |