Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 39%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.