Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 4
Chelsea

Barnes (84'), Westwood (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

James (47'), Havertz (52', 55'), Pulisic (69')

Reaction

Burnley's James Tarkowski wearing a captain's armband with the Ukraine colors on March 5, 2022

James Tarkowski says Burnley are 'better than that' following Chelsea defeat

Burnley defender James Tarkowski has claimed that the team are better than the performance that they gave against Chelsea on Saturday.

Mar 6, 10:58

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel before the match on March 5, 2022

Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel critical of Chelsea fans after Roman Abramovich chant

Thomas Tuchel criticises Chelsea's travelling support at Burnley for chanting Roman Abramovich's name during a show of respect for Ukraine.

Mar 6, 10:06

Thomas Tuchel proud of Chelsea's "character" over past week

Head coach Thomas Tuchel again talked up the "character" of his Chelsea side as they thrashed Burnley by a 4-0 scoreline in the Premier League.

Mar 5, 18:41

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League

Next Game: Burnley vs. Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Everton	37	-19	39
17	Burnley	37	-18	35
18	Leeds United	37	-38	35

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Leicester
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League

Next Game: Chelsea vs. Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Liverpool	37	66	89
3	Chelsea	37	42	71
4	Tottenham Hotspur	37	24	68

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 12.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Chelsea
12.19%	18.75%	69.05%

Both teams to score 47.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.17%

43.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.78%

66.22%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03%

45.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.31%

81.69%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.42%

11.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.45%

36.55%

Score Analysis

Burnley 12.19%

Chelsea 69.05%

Draw 18.75%

Burnley	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 4.14% 2-1 @ 3.47% 2-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.19%	1-1 @ 8.92% 0-0 @ 5.32% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.77% Total : 18.75%	0-2 @ 12.37% 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 6.91% 0-4 @ 4.79% 1-4 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-5 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.47% Total : 69.05%