Champions League
Man City
Apr 26, 2022 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Kevin De Bruyne 2' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 11' goal
  • Phil Foden 53' goal
  • Pep Guardiola 54' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 74' goal
  • Fernandinho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 33'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 55'
  • goal Karim Benzema 82'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+3'

Manchester City vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 3-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 43.14%
Draw 20.37%
Real Madrid 36.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

75.75%

Goals

Over 2.5 77.54%
Under 2.5 22.46%
Over 3.5 58.48%
Under 3.5 41.52%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 88.17%
Under 0.5 11.83%
Over 1.5 62.91%
Under 1.5 37.08%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 85.91%
Under 0.5 14.08%
Over 1.5 58.31%
Under 1.5 41.69%

Score analysis

Manchester City 43.14%
Draw 20.37%
Real Madrid 36.49%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 5.19%
2-0 @ 3.8%
1-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.7%
4-3 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 43.14%
Draw
2-2 @ 7.29%
1-1 @ 6.97%
3-3 @ 3.39%
0-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.37%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 6.83%
2-3 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 3.27%
0-2 @ 3.2%
2-4 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 2.09%
3-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 36.49%

Head to Head

Champions League
Man City
Aug 7, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Real Madrid
  • Raheem Sterling 9' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 68' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 28'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 81'
Champions League
Real Madrid
Feb 26, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • Federico Valverde 48' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 54' yellowcard
  • Isco 60' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 29'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 78'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 83'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Man City
Jul 27, 2017 4.00am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Real Madrid
  • Yaya Toure 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 52' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 59' goal
  • John Stones 67' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 81' goal
  • Samir Nasri 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nacho 33'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 41'
  • goal Oscar 90'
Champions League
Real Madrid
May 4, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Man City
  • Fernando 20' goal
  • Lucas Vasquez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin de Bruyne 30'
  • yellowcard Fernando 71'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 94'
Champions League
Man City
Apr 26, 2016 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • David Silva 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pepe 24'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 92'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Man City
Jul 24, 2015 11.00am
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
Real Madrid
  • Yaya Toure 45' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 21'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 25'
  • goal Pepe 44'
  • goal Denis Cheryshev 73'

Form Data

Man City 5 - 1 Watford
Man City 3 - 0 Brighton
Man City 2 - 3 Liverpool
Atletico 0 - 0 Man City
Man City 2 - 2 Liverpool
Man City 1 - 0 Atletico
Osasuna 1 - 3 Real Madrid
Sevilla 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 3 Chelsea
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Getafe
Chelsea 1 - 3 Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid

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