Chelsea vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.