/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
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Kai Havertz
39'
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Hakim Ziyech
58'
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Mateo Kovacic
87'
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Kai Havertz
89'
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Antonio Rudiger
90'+1'
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Jacob Murphy
50'
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Bruno Guimaraes
80'
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Dwight Gayle
90'+2'
Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F10%2Fthomas-tuchel.JPG)
News
The match
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F05%2Fmalang-sarr.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F10%2Fmason-mount-kai-havertz.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F08%2Fchelil.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result
Chelsea
76.37%
Draw
15.1%
Newcastle United
8.53%
Both Teams to Score:
46.79%
Goals
Over 2.5
62.28%
Under 2.5
37.72%
Over 3.5
40.03%
Under 3.5
59.97%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
91.79%
Under 0.5
8.21%
Over 1.5
71.27%
Under 1.5
28.72%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
50.97%
Under 0.5
49.03%
Over 1.5
16.03%
Under 1.5
83.97%
Score analysis
Chelsea
76.36%
Draw
15.1%
Newcastle United
8.53%
Chelsea
2-0
@
12.57%
3-0 @ 10.48%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 6.55%
4-1 @ 4.67%
5-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.66%
5-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.67%
6-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 76.36%
3-0 @ 10.48%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 6.55%
4-1 @ 4.67%
5-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.66%
5-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.67%
6-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 76.36%
Draw
1-1
@
7.17%
0-0 @ 4.02%
2-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.1%
0-0 @ 4.02%
2-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.1%
Newcastle United
0-1
@
2.87%
1-2 @ 2.56%
0-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 8.53%
1-2 @ 2.56%
0-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 8.53%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F09%2Fthomas-tuchel_1.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F07%2Freece-james.jpg)