Champions League

Champions League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 16, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 2
Chelsea

(Chelsea win 4-1 on aggregate)

Yilmaz (38' pen.)
Gudmundsson (43'), Fonte (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pulisic (45+3'), Azpilicueta (71')
Chalobah (34')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel before the match on March 5, 2022

Thomas Tuchel sets new Champions League record in Lille win

Thomas Tuchel sets a new Champions League record as Chelsea progress to the quarter-finals with a 4-1 aggregate victory over French champions Lille.

Mar 17, 09:04

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel after his side's win over Malmo on November 2, 2021.

Thomas Tuchel: 'I used wrong tactics in Chelsea's win over Lille'

Head coach Thomas Tuchel says that Chelsea progressed past Lille in the Champions League despite claiming that he used the wrong tactics for the second leg.

Mar 16, 22:40

Christian Pulisic scoring for Chelsea against Lille in the Champions League on March 16, 2022.

Chelsea beat Lille to reach Champions League quarter-finals

Chelsea progress through to the Champions League quarter-finals after recording a 2-1 win over Lille, prevailing by a 4-1 scoreline on aggregate.

Mar 16, 21:56

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.93%), while for a Lille win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Chelsea
20.59%	28.64%	50.76%

Both teams to score 37.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.55%

66.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.11%

84.89%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.66%

48.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.52%

83.48%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23%

26.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96%

62.04%

Score Analysis

Lille 20.59%

Chelsea 50.75%

Draw 28.63%

Lille	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.59%	0-0 @ 12.93% 1-1 @ 12.39% 2-2 @ 2.97% Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.63%	0-1 @ 17.05% 0-2 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-3 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.66% Total : 50.75%