Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
0 - 0
St Etienne

Botman (65')

Moukoudi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48

Saint-Etienne

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
58.53%	23.48%	17.98%

Both teams to score 46.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59%

52.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91%

74.09%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35%

17.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74%

48.25%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.95%

43.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66%

79.33%

Score Analysis

Lille 58.52%

Saint-Etienne 17.98%

Draw 23.48%

Lille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 5.57% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.52%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.98%