Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
| 22.91% | 25.28% | 51.81% |
| Both teams to score 48.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% | 75.1% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% | 38.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.79% | 75.21% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% | 20.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.72% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.91% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 12.53% 0-2 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.8% |