Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
| 35.3% | 27.36% | 37.34% |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.18% | 55.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% | 76.94% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% | 30.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% | 66.23% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% | 28.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% | 64.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.3% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.34% |