Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 44.1% | 27.42% | 28.48% |
| Both teams to score 47.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% | 57.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% | 78.52% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% | 26.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% | 61.09% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% | 35.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.48% |