Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 57.97% | 23.62% | 18.41% |
| Both teams to score 47.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% | 52.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% | 74.03% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% | 17.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.44% | 48.57% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% | 42.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.13% | 78.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.54% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.96% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 4.78% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.41% |