Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lorient |
| 54.4% | 26.2% | 19.41% |
| Both teams to score 41.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.77% | 60.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% | 80.41% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% | 22.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% | 55.81% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% | 45.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.3% | 81.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 15.39% 2-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.41% |