Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
37.96% | 27.02% | 35.01% |
Both teams to score 50.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.48% | 54.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% | 75.87% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% | 63.46% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% | 29.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% | 65.67% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |