Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 37.96% | 27.02% | 35.01% |
| Both teams to score 50.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.48% | 54.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% | 75.87% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% | 29.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% | 65.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.01% |