Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 27.39% | 25.33% | 47.28% |
| Both teams to score 52.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% | 50.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% | 72.25% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% | 32.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% | 69.36% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% | 21.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% | 54.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.39% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-2 @ 8.36% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.28% |