Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
