| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 77.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 77.4% | 14.74% | 7.86% |
| Both teams to score 44.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.51% | 38.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.21% | 60.79% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.84% | 8.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.39% | 28.61% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.83% | 51.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.55% | 85.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-0 @ 13.11% 3-0 @ 10.95% 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 6.87% 4-1 @ 4.6% 5-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.54% 6-0 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.14% Total : 77.39% | 1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 4.17% 2-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 0.61% Total : 14.74% | 0-1 @ 2.8% 1-2 @ 2.35% 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.77% Total : 7.86% |