| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 59.49% | 23.42% | 17.09% |
| Both teams to score 45.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% | 53.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% | 74.97% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% | 17.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% | 48.31% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.24% | 44.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.26% | 80.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% 2-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.53% Total : 17.09% |