UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
2 - 1
Leicester

(Leicester City win 3-2 on aggregate)

Bourigeaud (8'), Tait (76')
Laborde (47'), Aguerd (71'), Bourigeaud (75'), Omari (90+6'), Traore (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fofana (51')
Iheanacho (90+5'), Maddison (90+8'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+8'), Vestergaard (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Rennes and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rennes in this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Leicester City
50.9%	22.54%	26.56%

Both teams to score 61.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.5%

38.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.2%

60.8%

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66%

15.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.91%

44.09%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76%

27.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33%

62.67%

Score Analysis

Rennes 50.9%

Leicester City 26.56%

Draw 22.53%

Rennes	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.91% Total : 50.9%	1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 6.62% 0-1 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.53% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.56%