Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
27.04% | 23.18% | 49.78% |
Both teams to score 59.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.87% | 41.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.48% | 63.52% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% | 28.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.02% | 63.98% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% | 16.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.42% | 46.57% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 6.74% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.61% Total : 27.04% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 5.7% 0-3 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 66 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |