Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Troyes |
54.85% | 23.57% | 21.59% |
Both teams to score 52.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% | 48.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.69% | 70.31% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% | 17.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.12% | 47.88% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.32% | 36.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.53% | 73.47% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.76% 3-1 @ 5.7% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.68% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |