Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 55.62% | 23.15% | 21.22% |
| Both teams to score 53.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% | 46.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% | 69.09% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% | 16.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% | 46.54% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% | 36.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% | 73.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.71% 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.94% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.14% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.22% |