Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montpellier HSC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Montpellier HSC.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
| 42.26% | 25.31% | 32.43% |
| Both teams to score 55.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% | 47.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% | 70.03% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% | 22.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% | 56.15% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% | 27.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% | 63.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.43% |