Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
3 - 1
Montpellier

Hamouma (82'), Nordin (90'), Khazri (90+2')
Mangala (16')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wahi (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Montpellier HSC
36.66%	26.41%	36.94%

Both teams to score 52.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1%

51.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35%

73.65%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63%

27.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17%

62.83%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8%

27.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38%

62.62%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 36.66%

Montpellier HSC 36.94%

Draw 26.4%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.66%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.94%