Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 49.81% | 25.89% | 24.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% | 54.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% | 76.04% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% | 22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% | 55.31% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.2% | 37.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% | 74.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.64% Total : 24.3% |