Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
2 - 0
Marseille

Bourigeaud (12'), Majer (35')
Tait (27')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sampaoli (27'), Caleta-Car (64'), Gueye (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Marseille
60.13% ( 0.18)	22.28% ( -0.05)	17.6% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

-0.01)

48.16% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.01)

70.32% (

0.01)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.4% (

0.06)

15.6% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.42% (

0.1)

44.58% (

-0.1)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.99% (

-0.16)

41.01% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.44% (

-0.14)

77.56% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Rennes 60.12%

Marseille 17.6%

Draw 22.27%

Rennes	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.12%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.27%	0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.6%