/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Florilog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
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Fabien Lemoine
56'
-
Bamba Dieng
39'
-
Matteo Guendouzi
48'
-
William Saliba
65'
-
Gerson
67'
Lorient vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F15%2Fmarpaok.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Lorient
27.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Marseille
48.53%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
56.8%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.85%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
45.16%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
32.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
67.5%
▲
(+0.08)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
69.87%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
30.13%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
33.73%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
66.28%
▲
(+0.07)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
81.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
18.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
49.94%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
50.07%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Lorient
27.36%
Draw
24.11%
Marseille
48.53%
Lorient
2-1
@
6.8%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.36%
1-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.36%
Draw
1-1
@
11.33%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.11%
2-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.11%
Marseille
1-2
@
9.5%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 48.53%
0-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 48.53%