Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
6 - 2
St Etienne

Moffi (42' pen., 86'), Kone (45+1', 65'), Le Fee (61'), Boisgard (89')
Le Fee (29'), Moffi (87')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Bouanga (4'), Nordin (22')
Mangala (14'), Nade (35'), Kolodziejczak (41'), Neyou (68')
Neyou (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	-31	36

Saint-Etienne

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Saint-Etienne
40.74%	28.15%	31.1%

Both teams to score 46.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.54%

59.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.17%

79.82%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36%

28.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55%

64.45%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.18%

34.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44%

71.55%

Score Analysis

Lorient 40.73%

Saint-Etienne 31.1%

Draw 28.15%

Lorient	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.73%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.1%