Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Feb 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
St Etienne

Mbappe (42', 47'), Pereira (52')
Gueye (56'), Marquinhos (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bouanga (16')
Mangala (9')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.15%) and 3-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Saint-Etienne
74.26%	17.06%	8.68%

Both teams to score 40.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63%

46.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35%

68.65%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.1%

10.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.95%

35.05%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.54%

54.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.44%

87.55%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 74.25%

Saint-Etienne 8.68%

Draw 17.06%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-0 @ 14.58% 1-0 @ 13.15% 3-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 6.55% 4-0 @ 5.97% 4-1 @ 3.63% 5-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.1% 6-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.41% Total : 74.25%	1-1 @ 7.99% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.44% Total : 17.06%	0-1 @ 3.61% 1-2 @ 2.43% 0-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.55% Total : 8.68%