Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.