Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 13.65% | 19.24% | 67.11% |
| Both teams to score 50.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% | 42.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% | 64.89% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% | 42.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% | 79.12% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.28% | 11.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.15% | 36.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 4.26% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.65% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 0-0 @ 5.02% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.24% | 0-2 @ 11.52% 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 6.99% 0-4 @ 4.42% 1-4 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-5 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.59% Total : 67.1% |