Coupe de France | Round of 16

Jan 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
2 - 0
Brest

Blas (25', 53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brassier (33'), Herelle (51'), Chardonnet (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coupe de France clash between Nantes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Brest
43.6%	25.72%	30.68%

Both teams to score 53.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.77%

50.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81%

72.19%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05%

22.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28%

56.72%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65%

30.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47%

66.54%

Score Analysis

Nantes 43.6%

Brest 30.68%

Draw 25.72%

Nantes	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.68%

How you voted: Nantes vs Brest

Nantes

80.0%

Draw

10.0%

Brest