| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
| 19 | Saint-Etienne | 37 | -35 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 37 | -41 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Lorient | 37 | -28 | 35 |
| 18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
| 19 | Saint-Etienne | 37 | -35 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saint-Etienne.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
| 41.94% | 26.92% | 31.14% |
| Both teams to score 50.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% | 54.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% | 76.18% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% | 25.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% | 60.81% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% | 68.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.15% |