Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
| 33.91% | 28.23% | 37.86% |
| Both teams to score 46.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% | 79.63% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% | 69.26% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% | 30.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.65% | 66.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.85% |