Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 11.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Metz |
| 71.46% | 17.42% | 11.12% |
| Both teams to score 48.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% | 40.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% | 62.95% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.94% | 10.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.83% | 33.16% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.29% | 45.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.51% | 81.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Metz |
| 2-0 @ 12.12% 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 7.27% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-0 @ 2.45% 5-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.63% 6-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.44% Total : 71.46% | 1-1 @ 8.27% 0-0 @ 4.6% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 17.42% | 0-1 @ 3.6% 1-2 @ 3.24% 0-2 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.12% |