Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 37.82% | 27.73% | 34.46% |
| Both teams to score 48.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% | 78.14% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% | 29.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% | 65.24% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% | 31.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% | 67.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.45% |