Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 31, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 4
Metz

Honorat (33'), Cardona (48')
Perraud (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Boulaya (36'), Sarr (74'), Ndiaga Yade (81'), Goncalves (88' pen.)
Ndiaga Yade (89'), Fofana (90+3'), Boulaya (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Metz
41.03%	26.79%	32.18%

Both teams to score 50.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.91%

54.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49%

75.51%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05%

25.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04%

60.96%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38%

67.62%

Score Analysis

Brest 41.03%

Metz 32.18%

Draw 26.78%

Brest	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.18%

How you voted: Brest vs Metz

Brest

37.5%

Draw

29.2%

Metz

33.3%