Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 43.24% | 27.76% | 29% |
| Both teams to score 46.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.24% | 58.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% | 79.28% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% | 26.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% | 62.27% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% | 36.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% | 72.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.95% Total : 29% |