Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 15, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 3
Monaco

Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61' pen.)
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
30.63%	24.54%	44.83%

Both teams to score 57.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.87%

45.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52%

67.48%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18%

27.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59%

63.41%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76%

20.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43%

52.57%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 30.63%

Monaco 44.83%

Draw 24.53%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 7.36% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.63%	1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.83%