Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2020 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 3
Lille

Laborde (57'), Delort (70')
Der Zakarian (21'), Sambia (50'), Ristic (66'), Ferri (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Weah (23'), Ikone (68' pen.), Yilmaz (86')
Andre (17'), Xeka (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
27.35%	24.92%	47.73%

Both teams to score 54.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36%

48.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.24%

70.76%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58%

68.42%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58%

20.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.14%

52.85%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 27.35%

Lille 47.73%

Draw 24.91%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 7.44% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.35%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.73%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lille

Montpellier HSC

25.9%

Draw

13.0%

Lille

61.1%