Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lille had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Lille win it was 2-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 22.16% | 22.54% | 55.29% |
| Both teams to score 56.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% | 43.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% | 65.41% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% | 33.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% | 69.86% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.56% | 15.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.71% | 44.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% 1-0 @ 5.65% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.16% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.29% |