Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 19.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 3-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 61.51% | 19.12% | 19.36% |
| Both teams to score 64.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.02% | 51.98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% | 9.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.59% | 32.41% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% | 28.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 7.35% 1-0 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 4.28% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-2 @ 1.25% 4-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.51% | 1-1 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-1 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 19.36% |