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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lorient logo

PSG
2 - 0
Lorient

Mbappe (51' pen.), Kean (61')
Mbappe (34'), Kean (58'), Fadiga (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gravillon (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLorient
77.28%14.1%8.62%
Both teams to score 51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.81%32.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.21%53.79%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.23%6.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.01%24.99%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14%44.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18%80.82%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 77.28%
    Lorient 8.62%
    Draw 14.1%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLorient
2-0 @ 11.01%
3-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 7.93%
4-0 @ 6.66%
4-1 @ 5.34%
5-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-1 @ 2.88%
4-2 @ 2.14%
6-0 @ 1.61%
6-1 @ 1.29%
5-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 77.28%
1-1 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 3.54%
0-0 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 14.1%
1-2 @ 2.63%
0-1 @ 2.43%
0-2 @ 0.98%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 8.62%

How you voted: PSG vs Lorient

Paris Saint-Germain
93.4%
Draw
4.9%
Lorient
1.6%
61
rhs 2.0


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