Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nimes |
| 44.72% | 27.38% | 27.91% |
| Both teams to score 47.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.12% | 57.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.41% | 78.6% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% | 25.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% | 60.72% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% | 36.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.78% | 73.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.91% |