Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 3, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Sparta Prague

Yilmaz (80', 84')
Bradaric (50'), Andre (57'), Botman (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krejci (71')
Dockal (51'), Krejci (55'), Celustka (62'), Krejci (86')
Celustka (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lille and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Sparta Prague
60.29%	23.05%	16.66%

Both teams to score 45.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29%

52.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65%

74.35%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87%

17.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.65%

47.35%

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.12%

44.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.16%

80.84%

Score Analysis

Lille 60.28%

Sparta Prague 16.66%

Draw 23.05%

Lille	Draw	Sparta Prague
1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.28%	1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.66%

How you voted: Lille vs Sparta Prague

Lille

72.9%

Draw

16.2%

Sparta Prague

10.8%